Amble’s Ramble + Hallie’s Hints & Teachman’s Take: Weekend Storm Outlook

Several unsettled days are in store for us through the weekend.  There are a lot of outdoor activities happening from the races at the Speedway to Sunday brunch with Mom!

FRIDAY

Low overcast and warm conditions will stick around through Friday.  There is a chance for an afternoon pop-up shower or thunderstorm.  The latest model trend doesn’t show much development Friday afternoon/early evening.  If a storm does develop, heavy rain and lightning are possible.  Here is an outline of where the greatest severe weather threat will be for Friday – as you can see, the greater chances for severe storms is south of Kansas City:

Teach2

In fact, a Tornado Watch is currently in effect until 5 PM for parts of extreme eastern New Mexico and western Texas.  Tornadoes, damaging winds in excess of 75 MPH and hail the size of softballs are possible for those folks!

Teach1

As for Saturday…

There will be a round of heavy rain and thunder after 2 AM Saturday through much of the morning.  Then, we’ll get a break and wait for more storms to arrive by evening.

Eastern Kansas and western Missouri are both in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms by Saturday evening.  A storm or two could produce large hail and gusty winds along with heavy downpours and lots of lightning.  The tornado threat for Saturday looks low for us.

There is, however, a significant chance for tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds over southwestern Kansas and portions of western Oklahoma.  Long-tracking tornadoes are possible for them.

Teach3Teach4

Mother’s Day…

Once again, another shot for heavy rain and thunder in the morning.  And depending on how much sunshine we see and how quickly the atmosphere will recover, additional thunderstorms are possible by early Sunday afternoon.  Right now, it looks like any time after 2 PM is a possibility for a strong to severe thunderstorm to form.  Large hail and damaging winds are the primary concerns.  Rainfall could also be heavy.

Teach5

Total additional rainfall amounts through the weekend could be 0.5” – 1” on the low side.  But, there could be some spots that pick up to 3” of rain by Monday morning.

There will be several more revisions to this forecast as we go through the weekend.  Stay with the KCTV Storm Track 5 weather team on-air, online at www.kctv.com/weather and download our free KCTV5 weather app to stay ahead of the weather this weekend!

Take care,

Gary, Hallie and Lisa

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