Suchan Says: Timeline of Next Round of Storms

First off, did you happen to notice the ultra red / orange tint to the setting sun earlier or the orange moon out late this evening?  Both are the direct result of wildfires active way up in Canada and upper level winds are carrying the massive smoke plume into our skies.  The smoke particulates are filtering out the light that reaches our eye leaving orange and some measure of red as the dominate colors we see from the spectrum.

Photo by Kemberly Creager

Photo by Kemberly Creager

Photo by Kimmie Totten

Photo by Kimmie Totten

Visible satellite image from earlier showing smoke plume moving southeast into our skies

Visible satellite image from earlier showing smoke plume moving southeast into our skies

Monday brought a beautiful summer day to the area with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s and not a “single drop of rain” most importantly!  Anytime we can get a day in the books without a single shower or storm feels like a notch in the win column to me anymore!!

Wouldn’t you know it, Tuesday brings the return of showers and thunderstorms to the forecast but the best chance of rain occurs deeper into the day.  Much of Tuesday is nothing more than a mix of clouds and hot sunshine before we turn our attention to radar and storm chances.  High temperatures will range from the upper 80s to lower 90s in the afternoon.

The overall pattern we’re in is a “northwest flow” pattern which can bring some comfortable days to the area (like Monday) but also runs the risk of occasional disturbances in the atmosphere zipping across our skies kicking up showers and storms.

Here’s a look at the rainfall timeline Tuesday.  Again note the bulk of which is reserved for late in the day especially Tuesday night.

Tuesday morning looking nice

Tuesday morning looking nice

Tuesday afternoon... a couple of pop up showers or a t-storm possible

Tuesday afternoon… a couple of pop up showers or a t-storm possible

Tuesday evening... isolated to scattered t-storms possible

Tuesday evening… isolated to scattered t-storms possible

Tuesday late evening... t-storm chances increasing into Tuesday night

Tuesday late evening… t-storm chances increasing into Tuesday night

The severe risk is on the lower side but I wouldn’t rule out a few stronger storms.  As of now, I do NOT expect anything of the magnitude we saw last Thursday night.  Of some concern, the possibility of locally heavy rainfall from storms where a few spots could see in excess of 2 inches of rain locally.

Chris Suchan
Chief Meteorologist
KCTV5/KSMO

Twitter:  @ChrisSuchanKCTV
Twitter:  @KCTV5Weather
Facebook:  https://www.facebook.com/chris.suchan
Facebook:  https://www.facebook.com/pages/Chief-Meteorologist-Chris-Suchan/361521570703480?ref=hl

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