Suchan Says: Cold and Snow Chances Ahead

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Cold front pushing in generating band of showers in our southeastern parts of the viewing area. Band of rain is moving east

After an incredible sunny day of 50s and lower 60s across the region, reality is about to set in that it is January in Kansas City after all.

Friday temperatures will run slightly below normal in the lower to mid 30s.  Cloudy skies will dominate half the day with gradual breaks in the clouds emerging deeper into the afternoon and by the evening.

Saturday is a mix of clouds and some sun although it may be more filtered sun by later in the afternoon.  High temperatures will hold in the 20s to lower 30s around the area.

Saturday night into early Sunday morning, a fast moving clipper system will drop across from our northwest.  The amount of moisture available for this system to work with is meager but given the very cold atmosphere in place, any snow that falls will be dry.  This should generally be a dusting to 1″ or so snow.  Just enough to create some slick spots especially in the northern half of the area where a more likely zone of 1″ of snow exists.  Depending on the track and how things unfold, there could be isolated spots over 1″ of snow in northern Missouri.

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Early Sunday morning… snow showers moving across

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Sunday 8:00am… leftover snow showers

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Sunday Afternoon… turns partly cloudy but also bitterly cold as arctic air moves in!!

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GFS forecast snow amounts Saturday night – Sunday. Dusting to 1″ around our viewing area

Any snow in the area Sunday would scoot south and out of the area by afternoon with breaks of sun building in.  At the same time, a surge of arctic cold will be bulldozing into the area.  Temperatures will fall through the teens and eventually into the single digits as the day progresses!!

The next chance for some snow arrives Tuesday.  It’s too early to speculate on just how much could fall but there’s certainly enough potential to be talking about an inch or more of snow.  We’ll fine tune this forecast as confidence grows on small details.

Here’s a look at the GFS Tuesday showing it’s plenty cold for all snow.  That’s not the question.  But we need to see how much moisture it will have to work.

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GFS image showing deep layer lift / moisture

Chris Suchan
Chief Meteorologist
KCTV5/KSMO

Twitter:  @ChrisSuchanKCTV
Facebook:  https://www.facebook.com/Chief-Meteorologist-Chris-Suchan-361521570703480/?ref=hl

 

 

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