Suchan Says: Midweek Forecast

Looking at the big picture tonight and through Wednesday, a very weak upper disturbance will be pushing north.  It’s certainly not a power packed system but could be just enough of a trigger coupled with daytime heating to try and fire off an isolated shower or thunderstorm Wednesday.

Radar2

Few showers down south associated with weak upper disturbance

avn_21_500

GFS 500mb vorticity & flow pattern Wednesday as weak upper disturbance moves by

As typical this time of the year, the strongest upper level dynamics are seen in the above image across Montana to the Canadian border.  But given a decent amount of moisture and instability as temperatures climb into the 90s, it just doesn’t take much to fire off a couple storms especially when a fairly weak feature like this moves by.

Thursday is the hottest day of the week as we enter the strongest part of the warm sector ahead of an advancing cold front.  Highs into the mid 90s but it will feel like it’s 102 – 107 most likely.  Cooler weather with an increasing rain chance comes in Thursday night and through Friday.

ForecastTrack3

Morning: Patchy clouds with only a stray sprinkle or shower possible

ForecastTrack2

Afternoon: Hot and humid with 20% isolated shower or thunderstorm

ForecastTrack

Evening: Dry and muggy

ForecastTrack4

Thursday night / Friday early morning: Increasing clouds with scattered showers or thunderstorms

Meteor

Great meteor shower to see as long as the weather forecast works out!

Chris Suchan
Chief Meteorologist
KCTV5/KSMO

Twitter:  @ChrisSuchanKCTV
Facebook:  https://www.facebook.com/Chief-Meteorologist-Chris-Suchan-361521570703480/

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