In the wake of early day showers and thunderstorms a rather pleasant summer day is in progress, but in the pattern we’ve been in, I’m already looking ahead to the next chance of rain.
At the moment it appears being in the wake of the early day rain which was triggered by a disturbance we call a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) is lending to a more stable environment where the chance to develop thunderstorms is greatly hindered. I’m just not expecting much the rest of this afternoon with only an isolated chance this evening in southern sections which by in large missed out on much of the early day rain.
All signs point toward late evening and overnight developing showers and thunderstorms across the southern half of the area that lift north through the night leading to a wet morning commute Friday.
These storms would not be as strong as Wednesday evening and the overall severe risk is much lower.
Later Friday, additional showers or storms are possible. Some of these storms could have hail and wind gusts with an isolated severe risk likely.
Here are some forecast maps giving you an idea on the rain chance and where into tonight through Friday morning’s commute.