It’s all systems go for our cold front to push through this weekend. There are really few changes to the going forecast over recent days. Timing still looks to be Saturday night into Sunday midday with frontal passage.
Ahead of the front Saturday, partly sunny skies with yet more 80s and high humidity in place. I can’t rule out a spotty pop up shower or weak storm during the afternoon. However it clearly appears the favored window for showers and storms will wait until the evening to develop and spread in from the west. So if you’re planning on going out Saturday evening or later on Saturday night, take an umbrella.
The atmosphere will be unstable and there’s a small amount of wind shear in place. There are quite a few other indices that are just unimpressive to me for widespread severe storms.
Given this, there could certainly be an isolated gusty storm or two with brief wind gusts and small hail. Torrential rain and lightning with any storm we see.
Rain should linger into Sunday morning and most likely becoming a more patchy light to moderate rain versus thunderstorms. This rain should push into the early afternoon then steadily taper off and move southeast out of the region.
The Chiefs will benefit greatly having a late afternoon kickoff compared to normal. If you’re tailgating well ahead of the game, you need to plan on some risk of rain to be sure.