It has been truly a spectacular stretch of weather for our area but now we need to think about a few different chances for showers and storms this week. There will also be a few windows of severe weather potential to monitor.
Tuesday’s severe risk is easily highest just west of our viewing area in central Kansas. This region will have the best dynamics to trigger storms coupled with enough instability and favorable wind shear to support the potential of organized storms capable of hail, wind gusts and possibly an isolated tornado risk as well.
Conditions further to the east in our area become increasingly unfavorable for severe storms as they amount of instability fades quickly despite good wind shear. We will catch storms in a weakening trend as they push east. I won’t rule out a few strong to possibly severe storms with brief strong wind gusts however before they completely weaken.
Wednesday will cut us a break in the rain chances but then we’ll see the risk of storms increase Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Some of these storms could be strong to severe with hail the primary concern.
Thursday will be another day to watch for a severe weather risk until the cold front pushes through Thursday night.