Teachman’s Take: Evening Severe Storm Chance

Today is the first day of Severe Weather Awareness Week (It’s Preparedness Day) and nature knows it.

We will have a chance for severe thunderstorms by this evening.  All forms of severe weather cannot be ruled out today with a concentration for tornado development in the ENHANCED (orange) shaded area.

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Winds today will be gusting to 35 MPH at times.

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A Wind Advisory, Red Flag Warning AND a Fire Weather Watch are all in effect.

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In other words, don’t burn anything!  Grass fires will get out of control quickly in this type of environment.

Highs will be warm in the lower 70s. Skies will generally be overcast.

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Any sunny breaks won’t be good news because that will enhance our severe threat for storms this afternoon and evening. Two areas of storms will develop after 4 PM. One in NE KS and NW MO.  Isolated storms will also be developing after 3 PM to the East of the metro — these will quickly push into central Missouri.

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The storms that initially develop over NE KS and NW MO will quickly evolve into a line and make its’ way into the metro between 7 & 8 PM. Damaging winds, heavy rain and even hail are possible.

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The farther east/southeast we go from the metro, the atmosphere will be more favorable for not only the large hail and damaging winds, but also an isolated tornado. Storms should exit our viewing area by midnight.

Winds stay breezy through Tuesday with highs slightly cooler in the lower 60s. Sunshine sticks around Tuesday and Wednesday. There’s a quick moving system for Thursday that could spark a few showers south of I-70. Nothing that’s expected to be severe nor long-lasting. Highs briefly touch 70.

Going into the weekend, a large storm system moves in late Friday and into Saturday. Highs will drop into the 40s and 50s. Overnight lows are expected near freezing. Rain is most likely late Friday into Saturday.

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Take care,

Teach

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