Archive for May 16th, 2017

Teachman’s Take: Toasty Again! Relief Comes Soon
May 16, 2017

We’re starting the morning with warm & breezy conditions plus plenty of sunshine.  Winds will be stronger through this afternoon gusting to 35.  Temps will easily get into the middle 80s this afternoon.

There will be an increase in cloud cover toward evening.  Models differ on the timing of the storms this evening and through the overnight.

There is an ENHANCED RISK in orange for a good chunk of the central high Plains.  As these storms track east, they will lose a bit of their punch.

  

Initially these storms will be capable of producing gusty winds and torrential downpours.  Where this complex tracks will be key.  This future radar depiction is the fastest with bringing it in to NE KS/NW MO between 7 and 8 PM:

Window for the metro to get storms will be between 10 PM and midnight:

All models are in agreement that by midnight, the intensity of these storms will drop:

Scattered storms will be around for the Wednesday AM commute in northern Missouri.  Temps tomorrow drop to the upper 70s.

We could face another bout of storms from the lunch hour through early evening:

  

The atmosphere will be tropical in nature, meaning that rainfall estimates with any storm could be between a half inch to an inch through Saturday.

This is a look just through Wednesday evening:

More storms are likely by Thursday evening.  Some could be strong with highs in the middle 80s.  Rain is likely Friday morning through Saturday morning.  Temps will dip into the middle 70s Friday and cool more to the upper 60s Saturday.  Saturday afternoon and evening look great as skies clear.  Plenty of sunshine on Sunday with highs in the lower 70s.  There are a few chances for showers & storms next Monday and Tuesday as highs remain in the lower 70s.

Take care,

Teach