Teachman’s Take: Afternoon Severe Storms

Showers & storms from this morning are falling apart as I write this.  Now, we are getting a mixture of sun and clouds which isn’t good news!  That sunshine will create enough instability to produce strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon.

The Slight Risk has now been shifted a touch farther south to include KC:

The window will be from 1 PM – 5 PM where all forms of severe weather are likely, especially for areas north of I-70:

Shortly after the lunch hour, a sliver of NE KS from Hiawatha to Lawrence to Olathe will be in the hot seat for severe storms.

This pushes through downtown by 2 PM and quickly races into parts of northern Missouri.  Considering how fast the flow is in the atmosphere, these storms will be booking!  And outside of any storm, winds will easily gust above 40 MPH, so it won’t take much to produce damaging winds.

By 4 PM, storms will linger along the MO/IA state line.  At this time, the greatest tornado & overall severe weather threat will shift into Iowa.

Most of Thursday looks quiet with a slight chance for an isolated shower or storm.  By Friday, a complex of storms will move in after midnight and linger into part of the AM commute.  Then, we’ll wait for another chance that could be strong to severe by evening.  That rain will taper during the day Saturday and we’ll be able to salvage part of the weekend as Sunday looks superb.  High temps will be in the 70s through next week with overnight lows in the 50s & 60s.

Take care,

Teach

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