Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Amble’s Ramble
June 28, 2017

Strong to severe storms will mainly impact areas of northern Missouri this evening through the overnight hours and by northern Missouri I mean areas so far north you’d swear you were in Iowa. Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary threats. I certainly don’t want to down play those storms but a much greater risk for damaging storms which will impact many more people will happen on Thursday.

Here is a look at the area of concern on Thursday:

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Strong thunderstorms will fire up northwest of Kansas City late Thursday afternoon then work our way through the evening arriving just before sunset. Here’s a look at when the strongest storms will impact the greatest population:

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When the storms reach this point in the evening the greatest threat for severe weather will come in the form of strong damaging winds and large hail. This is a look at those severe chances:

Severe Risk

Obviously with strong storms come the opportunity for area lawns and gardens to soak up some much needed rain and there should be plenty of that. Check out how much rain the most current model suggests we will get:

Heavy

More than 2″ will put our area right back on pace for a near normal June in terms of total rainfall. Right now we are more than 1.5″ in deficit. With more rain chances early next week it might be possible to leave the garden hose hanging on the hook for the next week to ten days.

Suchan Says: Heat, Humidity… Storms?
June 28, 2017

We’ve already seen a good coverage of storms in the “northern third” of our viewing area this Wednesday while the rest of the area has been dry and muggy.   For the rest of the morning, a few more showers or a thunderstorm remain possible in the northern half of the area.

This afternoon should turn mostly to partly sunny with temperatures climbing into the upper 80s.  As far as another round of storms later today is concerned, I’m seeing strong signals the coverage of storms to redevelop in the area may be very underwhelming.  I do expect to see storms in far northern Missouri but anything south of Highway 36 could end up being very isolated, if at all.

Should we realize a few storms up north late today, they’ll be more than capable of strong wind gusts and large hail.

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Chris Suchan
KCTV5 Meteorologist

Williams’s Wrap: More Storms Coming
June 27, 2017

After a wet and chilly Monday, Tuesday will be sunny and warmer as highs reach the low 80s. So overall it’ll be a quiet day but don’t let your guard down. Thunderstorm chances return as early as late Tuesday night. Mainly north of I-70 is where a few storms are possible, between 5am and 10am. A better chance moves in late Wednesday afternoon and evening.

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Storms develop and move south slowly. Some hail is possible but the main concern is heavy rain. Storms weaken overnight and become a bit more scattered.

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We’ll have another chance for showers and storms Thursday morning, afternoon, and evening. Depending on how washed out or muddy the atmosphere is from Wednesday’s rain will really affect the severity of Thursday’s storms. For right now, it looks like hail, damaging winds, and heavy rain will be the main hazards. A wet and stormy pattern continues all the way into next week.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Williams’s Wrap: Monday Showers
June 26, 2017

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Your drive into work will be mainly dry but rain chances will go up through the morning. A few showers could be around the Kansas City Metro as early as 10am. A 20% to 30% chance will be around during the late morning. More of a likelihood will move in during the afternoon, up to a 40% chance. Severe weather isn’t expected but we could hear some thunder. Our best chance for showers will be during your drive home, between 4pm and 6pm.

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Showers taper through the evening as they move south, leading to a dry Tuesday. It’ll be a brief break from the rain though. More showers and storms move in Wednesday. Some could be strong to severe and bring damaging winds and hail.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Williams’s Wrap: Cool Again, Then Soggy
June 25, 2017

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The cool down continues Sunday. There’s a good chance that no one will see 80 degrees today. Highs in the Metro will only reach the middle 70s. Anyone who doesn’t like this cool weather will have to wait at least a couple more days before temperatures get back to normal. Skies will be mostly to partly sunny with a light shower possible in our southernmost counties.

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A better chance for rain and thunder moves in Monday morning and continues through the afternoon. Severe weather isn’t expected but we could hear a few rumbles of thunder. Highs stay well below normal around the middle 70s.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Williams’s Wrap: Feeling Like Fall
June 24, 2017

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After a chilly start in the 50s Saturday morning, temperatures warm up quickly thanks to a clear sky. It’ll be a below normal day when it comes to high temperatures in the upper 70s/low 80s. Definitely not ideal pool weather for late June, but it will still be a very nice day with low humidity. Clear skies turn partly cloudy during the overnight. This leads to a slim chance for a sprinkle or shower through Sunday but most of us will stay dry. More cooler than normal temperatures will close out the weekend with Sunday highs in the middle/upper 70s. If you’re a fan of fall then you’ll love this weekend!

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Amble’s Ramble
June 23, 2017

Record lows in the summer season are almost as inviting as record highs in winter. Cool air is coming this weekend and while the record low each morning appears to be safe there will be a few close calls in the coming days. Tonight is the first cool night as clear skies and a gentle northwest wind sends the low into the middle to upper 50s across our area. The record is currently 51 degrees set back in 1961 so it will no doubt live on as the coldest for the date for at least another year.

 Record 1

Sunday morning will be chilly again with a nearly identical forecast low. The record is a slightly more reachable 53 degrees so it’s a morning we will keep a keen eye on. That 53 is not a long standing record. It was established in 2004.

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Monday morning may be our coolest of this stretch of days but the record is also a cool one. The forecast low on Monday is in the lower to middle 50s while the record on that day is 52. This will be our best chance at putting 2017 in the top row of the record book during this outbreak of cool days but it is still a bit of a long shot. 

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Record breaking or not this will be a fantastic weekend. Enjoy it!

Amble’s Ramble
June 22, 2017

Almost everyone is focused on Tropical Storm Cindy which is rapidly turning into a general area of low pressure which we call a mid latitude cyclone. The track of this decaying storm is well south of our area, heading east, missing us by a substantial margin. 

 Cindy

Our focus really needs to be in the opposite direction where a cold front is located right now. This front is on the march and will bring a very significant change to our area in time for the weekend. Initially you will feel the effects from the front with scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder overnight. A few of the storms could bring brief heavy rains to a lucky few but most areas will see less than a quarter inch thanks to that decaying Tropical system sapping some of the strength from this line of showers.

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Once the storms clear our area which will be before most alarm clocks go off on Friday a new air mass will be in place complete with a late September feel. Unseasonably cool air will push in thanks to a brisk northwest wind through the day Friday followed by even cooler air over the weekend. In fact you might think about digging your light jacket out of the closet for the morning and late evening hours beginning Friday evening. Don’t pack it away you will need it again each day though Monday. Have a great weekend everyone.

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Amble’s Ramble
June 21, 2017

A few days ago it looked like a can’t miss storm would arrive late Thursday into Friday morning. This cold front would be a solid line of thunderstorms carrying at least 1/2″ of rain into our area. That front will still push through:

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I’m sure you have heard of the Tropical Storm in the Gulf that is about to make landfall late Thursday night. Tropical Storm Cindy will work inland through the day Thursday impacting our area. This is where that storm will be late Thursday:

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So far so good but the Tropical Storm will impact our area in a way you might not expect. Tropical Storm Cindy will actually diminish our rain chances by stealing the cold front dynamics away from us. Here’s how. The southerly winds we have had here lately have brought moisture in from the Gulf of Mexico ready to feed the coming cold front. When the south winds hit the coming northerly winds pushing the front down from the north the collision will create the storms along the front. However, because winds blow into Tropical Storms ( or any form of Low Pressure ) the coming Tropical Storm will prematurely turn our winds to the north stealing the surface dynamics away from the approaching front:

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The front will not have anything to “plow” into so any rain that forma along that front will be weak and spotty at best.

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My hopes for free water on my lawn and garden just vanished because of a Tropical Storm! Funny how nature works.

Williams’s Wrap: Pool Weather’s Back
June 20, 2017

Sunny skies dominate the morning hours as temperatures work their way from the 60s into the 70s, and even into the 80s before the lunch hour. Get ready for a hot and humid afternoon. Highs across the area reach the low 90s.

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A few fair weather clouds will develop during the afternoon and a couple could become showers as a weak boundary slips in. A slim chance for rain lies between 4pm and Midnight. Wednesday brings more heat and humidity as highs reach the low 90s with mostly sunny skies. Summer officially starts at 11:24pm Tuesday night, making Wednesday the first full day of summer!

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235