Williams’s Wrap: Big Changes Ahead

December 4, 2017 - Leave a Response

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Monday starts windy, cloudy, and very mild with temperatures in the 60s. A chance of rain goes up by mid morning and continues into the afternoon. There’s also a chance for a rumble of thunder later this afternoon, mainly east of the Metro.

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Sunshine returns to Kansas City a few hours before the sun goes down but a cold front will drop temperatures quickly during the evening until we find ourselves in the 20s Tuesday morning. This will be the start to our cold snap as highs Tuesday only reach the middle 40s under a partly sunny sky.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235
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Williams’s Wrap: Enjoyable Weekend

December 2, 2017 - Leave a Response

Saturday is off to a sunny and cool start and even though you’ll need to cover up in the morning, we’ll all shed some layers by the afternoon. Highs warm up to around 60 across the area but keep coats nearby as temperatures fall through the 40s after the sun goes down.

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The weekend ends with less sunshine as clouds build into the area Sunday but it stays unseasonably warm with highs in the middle 60s. Monday brings a slight chance of rain but when it comes to temperatures, it will be our last warm day for a while. Heavy coats will be trendy again in Kansas City after Monday.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Brett’s Blog (Heads Up This Weekend)

December 1, 2017 - Leave a Response

Hi everyone,

I want you to keep your head up this weekend.  If you don’t, you might miss some cool sights. The first cool sight is this evening.  When the International Space Station passes low in the northern sky.  There is another chance to see the I-S-S tomorrow evening.  Below is more information.

Space Station Sightings

This evening will be the best chance to see the International Space Station.  Here is what you need to do.   First, look about 30-degrees above the horizon in the WNW sky at 6:00 PM.  You won’t be able to miss the bright white ball moving quickly across the northern sky.  Tomorrow’s view won’t be as good as tonight’s.  The I-S-S will be very low on the horizon and it will only take a minute to zip across the sky.

There is also a chance on Sunday.  It’s also a 4 minute view. Space Station Sightings 2.pngBut clouds may obscure the visibility Sunday evening.  The second reason to keep your head up this weekend is to see the one and only “Supermoon” of 2017.  That’s if the sky can stay clear.  Here are some reasons this year’s Full Cold Moon will also be a “Supermoon”

Supermoon.pngA Supermoon occurs when the moon is full at the same time it’s making its closest orbit to the earth. Remember the moon’s orbit is not circular so that means at times it’s closer than normal to the earth (Perigee) and at other times it’s farther than normal (Apogee) from the earth.  So, the Supermoon only occurs when the moon is full at the same time it’s closest.  The is not really 14% larger, it just looks that way.  If you had two similar sized cookies on a table, the one closest to you would look larger.  But it really isn’t.  😦

However, this discussion could be all for naught as plenty of cloud cover could zap our view Sunday night & Monday morningSupermoon 2.png!  Here is a look at the forecast clouds cover for 3AM Monday morning.  Kind of a bummer if it’s cloudy.  But hey, still keep your heads up.  You won’t want to miss these great weekend sights.

Brett’s Blog (Enjoy mild days, while they last)

November 29, 2017 - Leave a Response

November’s mild could turn into December’s wild.  Last week I blogged about an “atmospheric block”.   That block is happening.  The result, a polar push plunging into the lower 48 next week.  Look at the Jet Stream forecast map for December 7th.  500mb_Pattern

The Jet Stream forms in the upper reaches of the troposphere where there are big temperature contrasts.  We can see this temperature contrast in the map above.  This causes the “river of wind” aloft to move faster.  It’s why weather systems often race through in a region during the Winter months.

Now look at the map below.  A storm will zip through the northern plains Sunday into Monday.  This storm drags a strong cold front into the central plains.  It tries to bring the moisture starved Missouri Valley some much needed rain.  But will the rain happen?    500mb_Pattern Storm Track 1  We are fairly certain the cold air will happen. Cold enough for it to snow.  These are the types of set ups where fast moving storms develop in that river of wind.  The faster moving wind creates rising motion and viola’ it can snow.  The map below is a model depiction for Thursday, December 7th.                       500mb_Pattern Storm Track 2A word of caution, the above map is not gospel just guidance! It’s an idea of what coule happen.  But I’m showing it because there are signals that we are getting closer to seeing our first snow of the season.  Snowfall predictions, 7 to 10 outs are seldom right. So I won’t make one.  What’s easier to predict is the extent of the cold air and the wind chills.  With or without snow, the end of next week will feel brutally cold at times.

Regional_Euro_FeelsLike_TemperaturesThe map above shows the forecast Wind Chills for next Thursday morning.  That will make your thumbs feel numb.

Considering it could be 65 on Sunday and feel 50-degrees colder just a few days later, well that’s proof of the wild ride setting up for December.

Amble’s Ramble

November 28, 2017 - Leave a Response

Checking my backyard shed today I found a three year old bag of ice melt and my snow blower full of old spider webs. I probably will not air up the tires and pull on the started cord until the first signs of snow hit the 7-Day forecast page which still appears to be over a week away at least.

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There are signs of change however. A storm system will make it’s way out of the Rocky Mountains and on to the Plains by the middle of next week. If the GFS model holds true we can expect rain over parts of our area as other in the Midwest catch their first snow of the season. The Track looks good for a major snow event but the air is still too warm for our area to see snow. 

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The Texas panhandle could see snow for the first time this season and if everything works out it could be a wet, slushy 1″ to 3″ event which would really bog Amarillo, TX down for a day or so. This is the first real snow maker of the season for areas not hugging the Canadian border or the Great Lakes. Even if we miss out on this storm it gives me at least a little optimism that our area will see our first snow sometime before Christmas.

 

Williams’s Wrap: Cooler Days Ahead

November 28, 2017 - Leave a Response

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Enjoy a mild start to the day with temperatures in the 50s because mornings will only get cooler from here. Tuesday also starts with fair skies and a southerly breeze, but a cold front will quickly change that through the morning bringing more clouds our way.

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This will also lead to a slight chance for some sprinkles or a light shower through the afternoon and evening. Highs sneak their way into the low 60s around midday and then start to fall back through the 50s. Clouds and another slight chance of rain hang around Wednesday with highs in the 50s. Sunshine returns by Thursday.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Williams’s Wrap: Warm and Breezy

November 27, 2017 - Leave a Response

Even though many of us have to return to work today at least Mother Nature will cooperate. Morning temperatures start cool in the 30s and 40s, but nothing a coat can’t help. Mostly to partly sunny skies and a strong southerly wind will send highs into the upper 60s and low 70s.

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With gusts up to 30 mph and dry conditions, outdoor burning is discouraged. Kansas City will also contend for a record high once again. A cold front Tuesday brings cooler (but still mild) air into the area with highs in the middle 50s and a chance for a few showers.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Brett’s Blog (The November Flip)

November 26, 2017 - Leave a Response

Up and at em gang!  It’s back to work and school on Monday.  But maybe this weather forecast will make it easier to roll out of bed.

We’re on Record Watch!

Record_WatchThat’s right 70, in late November.  Heck, two years ago it was 34 and raining.  34 and raining.  YUCK!

The way this month started it made us think we were going to see that kind of cold again.  But, as if on schedule, Mother Nature flipped the script.  Check out the graphic below. See how the first 14 days of the month compare to last 12 day?

November FlipOur afternoon highs are almost 10-degrees warmer since the middle of the month.  The overnight lows have been warmer too. Well, except for the morning of the 22nd when it plummeted to 16-degrees.  Any way, if you look at the overall weather pattern by the middle of this week.

500mb_PatternThere are lots of yellows and oranges.  What does that mean?  It means we are going to make it through November without snow and brutally cold air.  That’s reason enough to jump out of bed Monday morning and get back to the grind.

Williams’s Wrap: Cooler, But Still Nice

November 25, 2017 - Leave a Response

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Now that a cold front has moved through the area we’re left with cooler temperatures but skies are clear so Saturday will also have plenty of sunshine. Early Saturday activities will require a coat or jacket as morning temperatures start off in the 40s and 30s. We’ll gradually warm into the upper 50s and low 60s, which will be cooler than how we started the weekend, but still well above normal by late November standards.

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A light southwest breeze Sunday will bring highs into the low 60s under a partly sunny sky. Tailgaters at Arrowhead will need a jacket in the morning but will be able to ditch it during the game.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Williams’s Wrap: Warm Black Friday

November 24, 2017 - Leave a Response

Black Friday will be an above normal day when it comes to morning AND afternoon temperatures. The day starts with a mainly clear sky and temperatures in the 40s and 50s. Mostly sunny skies and a breezy southwesterly wind will send high temperatures all the way into the low 70s.

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Temperatures stay pretty mild shortly after sunset in the low 60s. A cold front sweeps through late tonight and will knock highs down into the low 60s Saturday. But it will still be mild for this time of year and skies will stay sunny.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235