TEACHMAN’S TAKE: A Toasty Tuesday

April 18, 2017 - Leave a Response

Clouds are on the move this morning due to this system passing by.  It’s been producing some pretty strong storms up in Nebraska.

There’s a small window from 10 AM to 1 PM today where a few of these showers could survive north of 36 Highway.  

  

It will become partly cloudy this afternoon.  The winds will pick up throughout the day from the south at 10 to 15 MPH and gust to 20.  This will easily push our temperatures to the upper 70s and lower 80s.

 

There will be two times of day to watch for storms on Wednesday.  The first will be after midnight and through the morning commute for areas north of 36 Highway and the closer you get to the MO/IA state line.  Doubtful that the metro will pick up any of this rain as the warm front twitches slightly north.  

  

The rest of the day will be warm with a sun/cloud mix.  Highs will be in the lower 80s.  Toward evening, in particular between 6 and 9 PM, areas of NE KS and NW MO (think Tarkio/Maryville/Mound City) will have a brief window for severe weather.  

All modes of severe weather are likely during this time, including an isolated tornado threat.  

  

As the evening continues, these thunderstorms will build back into central Kansas.  They will then move southeast toward the metro closer to 10 PM.  Initially, they will have the potential to produce large hail & damaging winds.  But, with the sun down, the energy will be quickly lost and they will turn into a heavy rain/lightning threat through part of the overnight.  These storms should be long gone for the AM commute on Thursday.  

  

Temps will be much cooler on Thursday in the middle 60s.  Unsettled skies return late Friday through dawn on Sunday.  It still looks like Saturday will be a washout due to rain.  Highs will be affected in the middle 50s to lower 60s.  Quiet early next week as temps recover to near 70.  

Take care,

Teach  

Teachman’s Take: A Wonderful Start To The Work Week

April 17, 2017 - Leave a Response
Clouds will be on the decrease with quite a bit more sunshine this afternoon.  We’ll make an easy run for the lower 70s by 4 PM.  Winds won’t be too terribly strong from the southeast at 5 to 15 MPH, making it a beauty of a day!
The zone to watch for thunderstorm development on Tuesday will be northern Missouri, basically the closer you can get to the MO/IA state line.  The timeline will be closer to sunset.  Very isolated development is expected.  There is a Marginal Risk for this area late Tuesday which means a storm could briefly have some hail and/or strong wind gusts.  Right now, the severe threat looks rather low and not widespread.    
  
The rest of our area will be partly to mostly cloudy and warm at 78.
For Wednesday, showers & thunderstorms are likely for the AM commute and will taper by lunch.  Highs will be even warmer in the lower 80s.  There is a chance for additional thunderstorms, some of which could be strong, toward evening.  A Slight Risk has been posted for northern Missouri and Kansas.
Thunderstorm development will greatly depend on exactly where that warm front will reside during the day.
Thursday will be a quiet and cooler day in the middle 60s.  Most of Friday will be dry before rain & thunder arrive by evening and linger through much of Saturday.
Saturday looks like a potential washout before the rain tapers early Sunday.  Highs over the weekend will be in the 50s Saturday and warming to the middle 60s by Sunday.  Sunny next Monday and mild near 70.
Take care,
Teach

Williams’s Wrap: Easter Sunday – Dry Day, Damp Night

April 16, 2017 - Leave a Response

thumbnail_rain.jpg

The possibility of a stray shower through the rest of the morning won’t put a damper on our Easter Sunday. We’ll even see some clearing during the afternoon as skies turn partly sunny. It will be a cooler end to the weekend with highs in the low 70s.

thumbnail_event

Another slim chance for a shower moves into the southern half of the area later in the afternoon. Towards the evening, a few more showers are possible across the viewing area. After midnight, any rain and rumbles will be confined to areas along and south of I-70. A leftover morning shower is possible Monday but other than that, most of the day will be dry and partly cloudy.

thumbnail_7day

Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Suchan Says: 12:40am Update as Storms Move Through

April 16, 2017 - Leave a Response
1235

12:35am radar update as storms move through

Storms moving through ahead of cold front are producing heavy rain, occasional lightning and some very small hail.  There are no active warnings.  Over next few hours they’ll move southeast and out of the region.  I can’t rule out a very isolated warning for hail or wind but in general, am not expecting numerous warnings to be issued.

Easter Sunday has a leftover sprinkle or shower in southern parts of the area otherwise a pretty day is ahead with partly sunny skies and highs in the lower 70s with a light northeast wind.  Happy Easter to you and your family 🙂

Chris Suchan
Meteorologist
KCTV5/KSMO

Williams’s Wrap: Strong Storms Possible Saturday Evening

April 15, 2017 - Leave a Response
thumbnail_satrad
As a few showers move through NW MO and NE KS through the rest of the morning and early afternoon, much of the viewing area will stay dry until the evening arrives. It will be a partly sunny, windy, and warm Saturday with highs around 80.
thumbnail_ft.jpg
As a cold front continues to push through the region, around 6pm is when we’ll start to see showers/storms form along and ahead of the front. Development will take place mainly across northeast KS and northwest MO.
thumbnail_ft1
By 8pm, showers and storms will become more scattered across the viewing area and should reach the Metro by 9pm. Scattered showers/storms will continue through midnight but will also start to weaken during the overnight hours. Heavy rain and thunder will still be possible after 12am. By 6am, most of us will be dry and any leftover showers will be confined to our southernmost counties, so Easter Sunday services look like they’ll be in good shape.
thumbnail_ft2thumbnail_ft3
So between 6pm and 12am is going to be our best bet at seeing hail, strong wind gusts, heavy rain, and lightning should a stronger/severe storm develop. I also wouldn’t be surprised if a thunderstorm watch is issued sometime during the late afternoon, followed by a few thunderstorm warnings during the evening. If you you’ll be outdoors this evening, have a plan and a way to get weather alerts.
thumbnail_warn
Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Teachman’s Take: Early Good Friday Rain

April 14, 2017 - Leave a Response

It will be a wet start to your Good Friday with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms.  I’m not expecting anything severe today.

Temperatures this morning are warm and humid in the lower 60s.  This rain will linger through the morning and start to move out of our area early this afternoon.  Temperatures should be able to recover as the clouds start to break later this afternoon to 75.  Winds will also be gustier heading into this afternoon up to 30 MPH.

  

We are under a SLIGHT RISK for severe thunderstorms Saturday late afternoon and in the evening.

Large hail is primary followed by gusty winds.  While there could be a shower in the morning, the better timeline for storms will be after 4 PM through 10 PM for the strongest.
  
Rain and thunder will linger past midnight.  Most of the rain should depart for sunrise services.  But, places south of the metro will have to watch the skies for any leftover showers.  Sunday afternoon and early evening will be dry.
More rain and thunder kicks in Sunday night and into Monday morning.  Pretty much all of next week looks wet with waves of storms.  If I were to pick a drier day, it would be Wednesday at this point — even then it’s a stretch.  Due to the repeated nature of rain through next Friday, keep in mind that stream/rivers and creeks will start to run high once again.
Take care,
Teach

Teachman’s Take: Summer Storms Ahead

April 13, 2017 - Leave a Response

More clouds than sunshine today.  Winds will be lighter from the southwest at 5 to 15 MPH.  Temps will rise to the upper 70s this afternoon.

After 4 PM, there is a chance for a spotty shower or storm, mainly north of I-70.

Better rain chances arrive after midnight and continue to ramp up through the Friday morning commute.

After a rainy start Friday, drier conditions push in through the afternoon and evening.

The game at the “K” looks great Friday evening!

Over the weekend, storms chances will remain…….

It still looks like a random shower could be floating around Saturday morning.  Late in the afternoon and through the evening, a stronger line of storms will develop.  This line could be strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds — not to mention heavy rain.

  

This should push out by dawn on Sunday, allowing morning services to be held outside.  The ground may be muddy and it will be cloudy, but at least it will be drier.  There are still several chances for storms lined up next week from Monday through Thursday.  By Friday, this stormy stretch will move out and cooler sunshine will return.  Highs will stay mainly in the upper 60s and lower 70s for the next week.  No major shots of colder air until the end of next week.

Take care,

Teach

Teachman’s Take: From Fall To Summer In 3…2…1

April 12, 2017 - Leave a Response

There will be intervals of sunshine and clouds today — but count on more sunshine than anything else.  Winds will be kicking up this afternoon from the south/southeast at 10 to 15 and gust to 25.

After 5 PM, a shower or a storm could move into NW MO and track along the MO/IA state line through sundown.

The rain fades long before it even thinks about approaching the “K”.  The Royals game will be mild, so forget about taking a jacket with you even after sunset.

A long stretch of unsettled weather is upon us.  It still doesn’t look like it will be raining all the time and it won’t be a weekend washout.  Rain for Thursday arrives toward evening.  This looks to arrive just after the Royals finish their game.  I’m not expecting severe storms.  Better rain chances settle in for the Friday morning commute.  Friday evening looks dry!

Over the weekend, planning Easter egg hunts and Sunday Sunrise Services will need to be monitored.  While a shower cannot be ruled out Saturday morning, there is a better chance for storms by afternoon and evening.  I wouldn’t be surprised if a few of these were a little stronger.  There is a good chance the majority of this will be swept away before dawn on Sunday.  However, a lingering shower or storm could still be possible southeast of KC early in the day.  The rest of Sunday looks quiet with a sun/cloud mix.

Next week, more showers and storms are possible from Monday through Wednesday.  Highs will stay warm in the 70s.  Overnight lows will be mostly in the 50s.
Take care,
Teach

Teachman’s Take: What A Beauty Today!

April 11, 2017 - Leave a Response

Temperatures have had a chilly start today with most locations bottoming out in the 30s.

It will be mostly sunny all day with light winds from the north/northwest at 5 to 10 MPH.

The majority of Wednesday looks dry with winds picking up.  Toward evening, I can’t rule out a shower or an isolated storm.  Our chance is only at 10%, so pretty low with areas targeted closer to the MO/IA state line.

Unsettled skies will be the main flavor for many days, including Thursday through next Tuesday.  It won’t be raining all the time and I’m not expecting a weekend washout at this point.  Thursday morning looks quiet, but storms will start to arrive by late afternoon and evening.  Friday morning looks wet with drier conditions as the day goes on.

Best bets for rain on Saturday will be west of I-35 by afternoon with widespread showers & thunderstorms for Sunday morning.  Unfortunately, outdoor Easter eggs hunts look wet!

   

Take care,

Teach

Teachman’s Take: GREAT Weather Start For The Royals

April 10, 2017 - Leave a Response

A cold front is sweeping through the area.  While temperatures have been mild, we’re dipping into the 50s this morning.

Our chances for showers & thunderstorms are over with for today.  Clouds this morning will be giving way to partly cloudy skies this afternoon.  It will be breezy from the west at 10 to 15 MPH.  Some gusts could reach 25 MPH.  Highs this afternoon for the Royals Home Opener at 3:15 will be in the upper 60s.

  

There will be a few areas of frost early Tuesday morning as temps dip down into the 30s.  Sunshine dominates for Tuesday with temps in the middle 60s.

Unsettled skies return Wednesday through next Monday.  It won’t be raining all the time, but there will be periods of storms.  Temperatures will be on the warm side in the 70s during this time along with overnight lows in the 50s.

Take care,

Teach