Teachman’s Take: Friday’s Severe Storm Chance

It’s overcast and a few showers have tried to develop across NE Kansas & NW Missouri, but haven’t had much luck this morning.  We’re going to get a bit of a breather until the lunch hour when scattered showers will redevelop throughout the area.  These shouldn’t be severe.  

There is a SLIGHT RISK for areas south of I-70 — This is for development in the heat of the afternoon through early evening.  Some storms could produce large hail and damaging winds.  While the tornado threat isn’t zero, it’s much lower than it was yesterday.  Heavy rain will be a concern considering the atmosphere is very tropical in nature.

  

Heavier storms are likely any time after 3 PM.  Sunshine will dictate a lot for us.  The more breaks, the stronger the storms.  But, if we stay cloudy, the severity will be lower.  After sundown, the severe threat drops.     

  

Scattered showers & thunderstorms will linger overnight and into Saturday morning.  There is a Flash Flood Watch in effect through Saturday morning.  The ground is already saturated from rain over the last 24, it won’t take much to cause problems.  Another 1″ is possible with isolated spots up to 2″ likely.

  

Showers will taper Saturday afternoon and clouds will stick around through evening.  Sunday we clear out and temps remain comfy in the upper 60s.  Storms are likely next Monday and Tuesday with a Wednesday break before more rain comes in on Thursday.  

Take care,

Teach