Teachman’s Take: Fall’s Return Today!

April 26, 2017 - Leave a Response

A few showers will linger through the lunch hour and the drive home.

Any shower the rest of the day shouldn’t be too heavy.  It will remain cloudy and cool with temps hovering in the middle 40s to the lower 50s.  Winds will be breezy from the north/northwest at 10 to 20 MPH, gusting to 25.   

The system responsible for today’s chilly air & showers will produce severe storms to our south.  Tornadoes are likely in Arkansas and Louisiana by afternoon.  

Most of Thursday looks quiet with partly to mostly cloudy skies.  Temperatures will bounce back to the lower 60s.  Toward evening, rain will return.  Not expecting anything severe at this point.  Temperatures will be in the lower 60s.  

Friday morning looks wet due to additional rain with drier skies for the Royals game against the Twins during the evening.  Saturday still looks like a washout right now with showers from the time folks get up to the time they go to bed.  Rain begins to taper Sunday morning.  We may still be able to salvage some of the weekend for outdoor activities.  Temps will be in the middle 50s both Saturday and Sunday, which is pretty cool for this time of year.  A brief breather on Monday with mostly sunny skies and temps back into the middle 60s.  More rain is on tap next Tuesday into Wednesday as highs climb to the upper 60s and lower 70s.  

Take care,

Teach  

Teachman’s Take: Tuesday’s Strong Storm Chance

April 25, 2017 - Leave a Response

Showers have moved out of our area for this morning.  Expect to see more clouds than sunshine today.  Winds won’t be as strong, but still breezy this afternoon with gusts up to 25 MPH.  By lunch, temps will approach 70.  This afternoon, we’re running for the middle 70s!

When it comes to thunderstorm development, areas along I-35 and points to the south/southeast will be in the prime lineup any time after 6 PM.  Storms approach downtown KC around 8 PM.  Most of our viewing area should be finished with these stronger storms by midnight, at the latest.   

A storm or two could produce large hail and/or gusty winds.  The Slight Risk for today has been inched farther north to now include the metro:

 

Showers and thunderstorms are likely into the Wednesday AM commute.  There could be a few pockets of heavier rain.  But, we’ll see the trend start to dwindle as we get closer to dawn.  Temps will be significantly cooler in the middle 50s.  

Most of Thursday looks dry with rain returning early Friday.  Over the weekend, Saturday still looks wet for the majority of the day.  The rain will taper early Sunday with the afternoon/evening looking dry.  Temps over the weekend will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s.  Sunshine returns next Monday with highs back into the 60s and eventually 70s by Tuesday.  

Take care,

Teach  

Teachman’s Take: Toasty Start To The Week

April 24, 2017 - Leave a Response

Highs will easily touch the middle 70s this afternoon with plenty of sunshine.  The winds will also increase and become a gusty problem this afternoon.  While sunshine dominates, the only thing to ruin a perfect day will be the winds gusting to 35 MPH.  With the high temps & winds combined with low amounts of humidity, there is an elevated risk for wildfires.

There is a slight chance for a quick, predawn shower north of downtown Tuesday.  Unsettled skies will stick around from Tuesday night through Wednesday morning with showers & thunderstorms.

Severe potential for Tuesday will be southeast of I-35 after 7 PM.  Kansas City is on the fringe of the Marginal Risk in green.  The yellow is the Slight Risk where the strongest storms will reside (think Joplin/Springfield areas).  An isolated storm could contain larger hail or some brief gusty winds.

We will see an increase of showers & thunderstorms for Wednesday.  The morning commute looks wet and possibly slow.

Wednesday Before Dawn:

Wednesday AM Commute:

Temperatures will dip into the 50s for highs.  Rain chances drop for Thursday as highs remain cool in the 50s.  Rain is likely Friday night through the majority of the weekend.  Saturday looks like a washout with rain wrapping up Sunday morning.  Highs by Friday will rebound into the lower 70s and stay in the 60s next weekend.  Sunshine will be prominent next Monday with highs in the upper 60s.

Take care,

Teach

Williams’s Wrap: Perfect Spring Weather…For Now

April 23, 2017 - Leave a Response

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SUNSHINE will be the word of the day Sunday! There won’t be a cloud in the sky while temperatures warm into the low 70s. Winds will be light too so they won’t be much of a nuisance for outdoor activities. Things stay quiet and clear through the night and then Monday starts with a little chill in the air. Lows fall into the low/mid 40s but another quick rebound follows. Highs make their way into the low/mid 70s under a mostly sunny sky. The only thing to keep in mind is that winds will gust up to 30+ mph.

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High pressure continues to do it’s job and keep us dry but it’ll start to break down as a disturbance from the west approaches Monday night. More clouds arrive Tuesday, along with a slight chance for a shower. Better rain chances move in Tuesday night, Wednesday, and stick around through the rest of the week.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Williams’s Wrap: From Cloudy To Clear

April 22, 2017 - Leave a Response

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As rain moves out, the Metro could see a few leftover sprinkles during the morning but early patchy rain will favor areas south. Everyone dries out by Noon as clouds start to break and skies turn partly sunny. A breezy north wind will keep highs cooler than normal in the upper 50s/low 60s. Any remaining clouds in the sky will be gone by the evening. So we may be able to get a couple of hours of full on sunshine before the sun goes down.

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Winds become light during the night but they’ll still be out of the north. Combine that with a clear sky and Sunday will start chilly with temperatures in the upper 30s. Your plants should be okay though as temperatures won’t be quite near freezing. We’ll quickly rebound after our chilly start. Highs will be closer to normal in the upper 60s. You’ll also get good use out of your sunglasses, there’ll be sunshine all day with barely a cloud in the sky.

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Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Amble’s Ramble

April 20, 2017 - Leave a Response

Have your jacket ready to go this evening and leave it within arms reach when you’re ready to leave the house Friday morning. Cool air will settle in overnight sending the low into the middle 40s by morning. Friday will have more of a March feel to it with mostly overcast skies and a rain chance arriving late in the day. A blustery wind out of the northeast will hold the afternoon high in the 50s.

Next Day

Not everyone will have to deal with rain on Friday in fact very few who live north of I-70 will have to worry about rain gear. Showers will work in from the southwest and barely touch real estate north of the interstate. This will show about the most northern extent of the rain on Friday.

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This will not be a whopper of a rain either with most areas picking up less than 1/4″. If you are itching to get in your garden this minuscule amount of moisture shouldn’t impact your desire to get your hands dirty especially by Sunday afternoon.

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Looking deep into the forecast pages I don’t see a chance for a hard freeze over the next ten days. That will put us into May so at this time it looks safe to do some early planting. I’ll take a close look at your planting forecast early next week.

Williams’s Wrap: Wednesday Night Storms

April 19, 2017 - Leave a Response

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Model guidance continues to push the timing of storms back. Overall, the brunt of Wednesday night’s event will likely be between 8pm and 2am.

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NW MO could see all modes of severe weather, including a tornado or two. Mainly between 8pm and 11pm. Extreme NW MO (Atchison, Holt, and Nodaway counties) is under a Tornado Watch until 10pm Wednesday night.

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It’s looking like the Metro won’t see any thunderstorms until after midnight. To be specific, between 1am and 2am is when they should start to move in. Damaging winds and hail will be possible during the overnight in the Metro. Storms will continue to move out through the rest of the night (while slowly weakening) and should be out of the viewing area by early Thursday morning.

Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Suchan Says: Wild Wednesday

April 19, 2017 - Leave a Response

It’ll be a day of sunny skies, warm temperatures and a gusty wind this afternoon.   We’ll see wind gusts of 30 – 40mph.   Temperatures will warm into the lower to even mid 80s.

An area of low pressure will move across Nebraska into Iowa by late day.  A cold front will work into the viewing area by mid to late evening.  Ahead of this front, an area of thunderstorms will develop and spread in.   The area with the most favorable severe weather parameters will be northwest Missouri, a little bit of northeast Kansas and especially Nebraska into Iowa.   In this region, all modes of severe weather are possible especially as you travel into Nebraska and Iowa.

Bringing it back into our area, the sun will set and storms spreading southeast will slowly lose their punch as they push across the the area given cooling temperatures deep into the evening.  However, a few storms with hail and brief strong wind gusts cannot be taken off the table.   In addition, frequent lightning and downpours will accompany storms.

Storms move through the KC metro from 10pm to 2am then move out of the region late in the night.  Thursday will usher in cooler temperatures and sunshine for the afternoon.

SPC

Updated by Storm Prediction Center just before 8:00am

10pm

Scattered storms late evening ahead of cold front

Chris Suchan
Meteorologist
KCTV5/KSMO

TEACHMAN’S TAKE: A Toasty Tuesday

April 18, 2017 - Leave a Response

Clouds are on the move this morning due to this system passing by.  It’s been producing some pretty strong storms up in Nebraska.

There’s a small window from 10 AM to 1 PM today where a few of these showers could survive north of 36 Highway.  

  

It will become partly cloudy this afternoon.  The winds will pick up throughout the day from the south at 10 to 15 MPH and gust to 20.  This will easily push our temperatures to the upper 70s and lower 80s.

 

There will be two times of day to watch for storms on Wednesday.  The first will be after midnight and through the morning commute for areas north of 36 Highway and the closer you get to the MO/IA state line.  Doubtful that the metro will pick up any of this rain as the warm front twitches slightly north.  

  

The rest of the day will be warm with a sun/cloud mix.  Highs will be in the lower 80s.  Toward evening, in particular between 6 and 9 PM, areas of NE KS and NW MO (think Tarkio/Maryville/Mound City) will have a brief window for severe weather.  

All modes of severe weather are likely during this time, including an isolated tornado threat.  

  

As the evening continues, these thunderstorms will build back into central Kansas.  They will then move southeast toward the metro closer to 10 PM.  Initially, they will have the potential to produce large hail & damaging winds.  But, with the sun down, the energy will be quickly lost and they will turn into a heavy rain/lightning threat through part of the overnight.  These storms should be long gone for the AM commute on Thursday.  

  

Temps will be much cooler on Thursday in the middle 60s.  Unsettled skies return late Friday through dawn on Sunday.  It still looks like Saturday will be a washout due to rain.  Highs will be affected in the middle 50s to lower 60s.  Quiet early next week as temps recover to near 70.  

Take care,

Teach  

Teachman’s Take: A Wonderful Start To The Work Week

April 17, 2017 - Leave a Response
Clouds will be on the decrease with quite a bit more sunshine this afternoon.  We’ll make an easy run for the lower 70s by 4 PM.  Winds won’t be too terribly strong from the southeast at 5 to 15 MPH, making it a beauty of a day!
The zone to watch for thunderstorm development on Tuesday will be northern Missouri, basically the closer you can get to the MO/IA state line.  The timeline will be closer to sunset.  Very isolated development is expected.  There is a Marginal Risk for this area late Tuesday which means a storm could briefly have some hail and/or strong wind gusts.  Right now, the severe threat looks rather low and not widespread.    
  
The rest of our area will be partly to mostly cloudy and warm at 78.
For Wednesday, showers & thunderstorms are likely for the AM commute and will taper by lunch.  Highs will be even warmer in the lower 80s.  There is a chance for additional thunderstorms, some of which could be strong, toward evening.  A Slight Risk has been posted for northern Missouri and Kansas.
Thunderstorm development will greatly depend on exactly where that warm front will reside during the day.
Thursday will be a quiet and cooler day in the middle 60s.  Most of Friday will be dry before rain & thunder arrive by evening and linger through much of Saturday.
Saturday looks like a potential washout before the rain tapers early Sunday.  Highs over the weekend will be in the 50s Saturday and warming to the middle 60s by Sunday.  Sunny next Monday and mild near 70.
Take care,
Teach