Williams’s Wrap: FINALLY…Rain On The Way!

February 19, 2017 - Leave a Response

Patchy Sunday morning fog has given way to partly sunny skies and more warm temperatures. Highs across the area will easily climb into the low 70s.

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Clouds will be on the increase late tonight as our desired chance of rain moves in after midnight. This is also when we could hear a few rumbles of thunder. Expect some quick moving showers to continue early Monday morning. Wet weather wraps up after that with a few leftover sprinkles possible the rest of the day.

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Unfortunately, rain amounts will be low and shouldn’t exceed more than .30″. And that’s the best we’ll be able to do. General amounts will be between .15 and .25″ across the area. Highs Monday will remain warm around the upper 60s under mostly cloudy skies.

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We won’t see a major change until Friday when a strong storm system brings colder air back into the region. There will also be a chance for rain/snow. Locations closer to the MO/IA line will have a better shot at possibly seeing some light snow. We’re about to get a reminder that it’s still winter.

Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

 

Williams’s Wrap: A Weekend To Enjoy Outside!

February 18, 2017 - Leave a Response

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This weekend will be one you’ll want to enjoy outside! After a cool start Saturday morning, highs quickly climb to around 70 by the afternoon with sunny skies. Winds will be much lighter and humidity is improving, but it’s still pretty dry out there. Outdoor burning continues to be discouraged through the weekend.

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A few more clouds move in Sunday to turn our skies partly sunny. Spring-like warmth won’t be going anywhere though as highs stay around 70. A much-needed chance for rain moves in late Sunday night but moves right back out by mid-day on Monday.

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Bigger changes arrive later in the upcoming week. A storm system moves in late Thursday night and brings mainly rain during the night and early Friday. Temperatures will drop through Friday though, and while they do, that’s when we could see some snow mix with rain showers. As temperatures continue to fall through the latter part of Friday and into the evening, moisture availability will be a problem but temperatures will continue to fall and make some light accumulating snow a possibility.

Ronelle Williams
Meteorologist (CBM) | KCTV5 News
4500 Shawnee Mission Pkwy
Fairway, KS 66205
T: 913-677-7235

Amble’s Ramble

February 17, 2017 - Leave a Response

Sometimes I wonder, “Why am I here?” Please, I’m not getting deep in thought. I’m just wondering why I’m sitting in a stuffy office with Ronelle on an afternoon that could be the most comfortable February day in Kansas City history!

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BTW those are Ronelle’s donuts behind my Nalgene bottle …I was hoping to distract him long enough to grab the glazed one.

This afternoon could be a record setter. The sky is sunny and at 2:00 PM the temperature has officially reached 72 degrees which means the February 27th record of 74 is certainly achievable. If the record is tied or broken it may not be the only one to fall this month. Here’s a look ahead to the forecast high temperatures and the record for each day over the coming days:

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There is no sure bet for another to fall but each day has us on alert. I sincerely hope you find a little time to enjoy this gift from Mother Nature. I certainly can’t remember a February with warmth like this lasting this long. Enjoy!

Teachman’s Take: Near Record Heat Today

February 17, 2017 - Leave a Response

The record to beat is 74 last set in 2011.  Skies will be mostly sunny all day and the winds will kick in from the southwest at 10 to 15 MPH.  After a cool morning in the middle 40s, there’s no reason to not expect an afternoon in the 70s in Kansas City and in many communities across the Storm Track 5 area.  Temperatures at the lunch hour will be in the middle 60s.  The high will be close to the record at 73.

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Once again there is an elevated threat for grass fires.

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An incredible weekend is in store!  Highs will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s.  Humidity values will increase and winds will decrease.  This will lower our fire threat.  We’ll see more clouds as we go deeper into the weekend.  Rain showers still look likely on Monday with highs near 70.  This system passes by rather quickly, setting the stage for more warm days in the lower 70s Tuesday and Wednesday.

Changes will come Thursday night and into Friday.  A strong storm system will crash our temperatures.  And, there is a chance for rain to switch to snow late in the day on Friday — something to watch as we get closer!

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Take care,

Teach

Amble’s Ramble

February 16, 2017 - Leave a Response

The next week will be one that people talk about for years to come. I’m sure the heat wave of February 2017 will be remembered for a long long time. A typical February is gloomy and cold with only small teases of mild weather which are typically squashed by shots of cold air. A more typical warm up at this time of year would mean highs in the fifties, melting snow but only lasting a couple days before Canada sends another reminder that Winter still has some punch left in it. To me, that’s normal.

This next warm up will be much stronger and last 4 times as long. Here is a look at how warm the next five days will be:

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Not bad right? Now let’s take a look at the record high for each day which will be the number directly above the forecast high each day:

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Even though there’s no slam dunk record heat this week each day will be close enough to put us all on alert.

Dry weather is also beginning to be a problem. Blustery winds combined with warm afternoons and low humidity levels has last years growth running about as tinder dry as anything you’d find in the desert. Just a small spark can ignite this old dead grass that’s in abundant supply across the area. Winds gusting to over 15 MPH during the afternoon hours will have the potential to spread flames in an out of control manner so pay close attention to where you extinguish your cigarettes and keep a constant eye on BBQ grills. A Red Flag warning is in effect until 6 PM Thursday afternoon but there is a High Fire Danger Threat for our area through the weekend.

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Teachman’s Take: Long Stretch of Spring-Like Days Are Here!

February 16, 2017 - Leave a Response
Temperatures are on the rise this morning.  We’ll be into the lower 60s for the lunch hour.  Highs this afternoon near 70.
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We are under a Red Flag Warning:  No burning today as the humidity is low, winds are high and things are bone dry.  Winds will be strong from the southwest at 10 to 15 MPH with gusts above 25.
teach1  teach2
We’re at the start of a LONG spring-like stretch.  Highs Friday will be in the lower 70s.  No burning again as winds will be breezy, humidity remains low and things continue to stay dry.  Over the weekend, humidity values rise.  Temps remain warm in the upper 60s and lower 70s.  I’m expecting a little more cloud cover by Sunday.  Next Monday looks like a shot for showers.  Not a washout of a day and the intensity looks light.  Highs will stay warm in the upper 60s.  Any signs of rain disappear by Tuesday and temps stay in the lower 70s.  A change is likely late Thursday into Friday as a strong storm system arrives dropping our temps in the 50s.  Late Thursday there is a chance for showers and thunderstorms.  We could be on the drier side of this system, which will rob most of our viewing area of the best chances for moisture.
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Take care,
Teach

Amble’s Ramble

February 15, 2017 - Leave a Response

No question about it this has been a VERY mild Winter. Our lack of snow and short lived cold snaps has made this Winter season an easy one to deal with.

Let’s take a look at the three Winter months. December had one day where the mercury climbed to 60 degrees or higher followed by January where it happened twice. Last weekend the high temperature reached the upper 60s in Kansas City which also lasted only 2 days. That gives us a grand total of 5 days this Winter where we had highs of 60 or more. That certainly is a nice stat in terms of Mild air considering many Winters it doesn’t happen at all! But if you look ahead the next 8 days will all be over 60 degrees with at least two capable of topping 70.long-warm-up

Speaking of 70 degree days it has been a long time since that has happened ( officially ) in Kansas City. Last weekend many people reported the afternoon air warming into the 70s but the official reading still reads 69 degrees. That is going to change either on Thursday where the forecast currently reads 69 or Friday where we should safely top 70. This will be our first 70 degree reading in 2017 and the first one since the middle of last November. The 17th to be exact. That’s over 90 days ago.

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Snow has also been a struggle this Winter with only a few little snows. In fact if we go the remainder of February without snow it will be Kansas City’s first snow free February since 1892.

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Right now there is no snow in the forecast for the next 10 days!  There will be a shot of cold air by the end of NEXT week which will be cold enough to make snow but with the lack of an adequate moisture supply that chance appears slim.

 

 

 

 

Teachman’s Take: Coldest Day Of The Week Expected Today

February 15, 2017 - Leave a Response

Temperatures start just below freezing this morning.  Sunshine dominates today.

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Temperatures turn out this afternoon just a few degrees cooler in the lower 50s.  With the lighter winds this afternoon, it will still be an ideal day for February.

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Get ready for a warm up and it begins on Thursday!  Highs will be in the upper 60s.  The winds will pick up from the southwest.  Considering how dry it is, burning is once again strongly discouraged.  Highs will get even better for Friday in the lower 70s!  Sunshine doesn’t leave us through the weekend, but you’ll notice an uptick in cloud cover late in the day on Sunday.  Highs over the weekend, both days, will be near 70.  Unsettled skies return next Monday through Wednesday as our moisture chances will go up.  There is a chance for rain showers Monday through Wednesday.  Nothing that looks heavy at this point, but we will take any moisture we can get.  Highs next week will be spring-like in the 60s with overnight lows in the 40s.

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Take care,

Teach

Teachman’s Take: Pleasant Valentine’s Day

February 14, 2017 - Leave a Response
Clouds are breaking up as we speak!  Winds are light and will remain from the north all day.  Temperatures by the lunch hour warm to the upper 40s.  Our high will be 54 with plenty of sunshine.
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Skies remain clear all the way until the weekend.  Temperatures are just a touch cooler at 50 for Wednesday.  But, by Thursday, get ready!  The warmth spreads back in this direction and temperatures will touch the middle 60s.  And we don’t stop there!  Highs keep climbing to near 70 on Friday.  Over the weekend, I’m expecting a cloud and sun mix.  Temperatures will hover in the middle to upper 60s.  Our next chance for rain will have to hold off until next Monday.  If there is one down side to this extended forecast, it’s the lack of rain.  Burning continues to be discouraged as conditions are incredibly dry.  Right now, Monday looks promising for widespread light rain.  Temperatures will start to fall back into the 50s once this system passes through our region.
Take care,
Teach

Teachman’s Take: Cooler Start To The Week

February 13, 2017 - Leave a Response

Mostly cloudy skies are expected all day.  Temps this morning are below freezing near 30.

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I’m watching an area of rain/sleet & snow to our west.  This will travel east as the morning goes on and arrive in the metro near 10 AM.

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It should be mostly in the form of rain, but a few sleet pellets are possible.  The high will be in the upper 40s this afternoon, which is above the norm for this time of year.  Winds won’t be a concern today as they’re light from the south/southeast at 5 to 10 MPH.  There could still be a lingering sprinkle/shower for the evening commute.

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Clouds clear by Valentine’s Day and temperatures rebound into the middle 50s.  We’re setting up for a long stretch of dry weather.  The next noticeable storm that could give us rain won’t arrive until next Monday.  Highs will be a touch cooler on Wednesday in the middle 40s.  And then get ready for another surge of spring-like air!  Highs Thursday through Sunday will be in the 60s.  We could easily see some parts of the StormTrack 5 area hit 70 over the weekend!

Take care,

Teach